世界银行预计教育损失将导致经济衰退

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世界银行预计教育损失将导致经济衰退

18-02-2022 14:55

世界银行预计教育损失将导致经济衰退

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世界银行预计教育损失将导致经济衰退

据世界银行分析师称，由于新冠病毒导致学校停课导致经济长期疲软。世界银行策略师认为，限制性措施引发的问题可能导致全球经济下滑。随着封锁的继续，高收入国家可能会长期受到封锁的影响。由于强制措施对学校教育的负面影响，发达经济体国家将面临经济收缩。分析人士表示，原因在于发达国家中等教育的复杂性对其经济发展产生了强烈影响。世界银行代表建议解除封锁，因为它们可能“威胁到各国建立人力资本的努力”。专家们发布了论文“模拟新冠病毒学校停课对学校教育和学习成果的潜在影响：一组全球估计”，并介绍了所进行的研究结果。该论文解释说，从长远来看，由于大流行而关闭学校可能会导致收入冲击。利用 145 个国家的数据，研究人员预测了包括关闭学校在内的乐观、中度和观的全球情景。考虑的问题可v能会导致劳动力市场的削弱以及知识和经验的潜在损失。病毒结束40年后，高收入国家国内生产总值可能下降4.2%，低于中等收入和低收入国家国内生产总值分别下降2.6%和0.8%。世界银行的研究指出，10 年后，由于富裕国家失去潜在的知识和经验，世界经济将遭受严重损害。至于欠发达国家，它们将在中期内受到教育危机的影响。

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